How to NOAA Acknowledges the New Reality of Hurricane

How to NOAA Acknowledges the New Reality of Hurricane

We are officially one step closer to growing in hurricane season. The National Hurricane Center announced on Tuesday that it would begin formally releasing a tropical weather outlook for its hurricane season on May 15 this year, a move that collided with the traditional start of the hurricane season on June 1. Came after the initial storms. Rip off the Atlantic.

The Atlantic hurricane season runs from 1 June to 30 November. When storm conditions are most favorable due to warm air and water temperature. (The Pacific Ocean has its own hurricane season, covering the same timeframe, but since the water is colder, fewer storms occur than the Atlantic.)

Thunderstorms have already started arriving on the Atlantic as sea and air temperatures have increased due to climate change. Last year, Hurricane Arthur exited the East Coast on 16 May. The storm made the sixth hurricane season a storm in 2020, which occurred before the official start date of 1 June. Although the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration is not yet beginning the season, the earlier outlook addresses recent history.

"Over the past decade, there have been 10 storms in the weeks before the traditional start of the season, which is a big jump," said Meteorologist Sean Sublett of Climate Central. On average, one and three storms start every decade before June 1.

It may be tempting to describe this completely earlier season for climate change warming the Atlantic. But technology also has a role, with more satellites being seen along the coast as well as satellites that can carry storms far away from the sea.

"I warn that we can't go now, because of the warming of the planet, we have to move the entire season!" "I don't think there is any sound basis for the reason of how much there is over the other." People of the season can sit around and debate that for a while. "

Earlier storms do not mean there are more harmful ones, either. In fact, hurricanes earlier in the season are weaker than the demons arriving in August and September when the hurricane season is at its peak. But regardless of their strength, these earlier storms have discussed inside the NHC whether to push forward the official start date for the season, when the agency typically puts two reports per day on storm activity . Tuesday's move is not an official announcement of the decision, but an acknowledgment of increased attention to the initial storm.

"I would say that [Tuesday's announcement] the National Hurricane Center is active," Sublett said. "Like hey, we know it's been a bit busy in May over the years, as we've seen in the last five decades, and we know there's an awareness now, so we'll start releasing these reports soon . "

Although the jury is still out on whether climate change is advancing the first season, research has shown that the strongest storms are becoming more common, and that climate change is playing a role. A study published last year found that the chances of storms becoming a major thunderstorm - which are category 3 or more strong - increased by 49% in the basin since satellite surveillance began in earnest four decades ago. And when storms make landslides, they suffer more damage from rising sea levels. Risks are increasing regardless of whether climate change is outpacing the Atlantic storm. Now, at least, we'll get a better warning before the initial storm arrives.